Dialogue with Alphabet Chairman Schmidt: Where's the Potential of AI?


"China's BAT has hundreds of millions of users. If they use our TensorFlow, they can run better, predict users, and serve users faster."

On the second day of the first man-machine battle between AlphaGo and Ke Jie, when asked by Chief Financial Officer Zhou Jiangong how to compare the advantages of China’s BAT and Alphabet AI, Alphabet’s executive chairman Schmidt replied, not forgetting to give The product TensorFlow makes an advertisement.

In the eyes of Schmidt, China is the center of the Internet. The reason why AlphaGo and Ke Jie played in the game is to look at the potential of AlphaGo through Ke Jie. From the results of the first game, the gap is very small.

An episode was that at the RSA security conference three months ago, Schmidt admitted that he was wrong and misjudged artificial intelligence. In the past he was skeptical of artificial intelligence until he realized that AI was crucial to the global economy and Alphabet’s mission to accomplish its mission.

"I studied artificial intelligence in the 1980s, but many attempts failed and I gave up. In the late 1980s, deep learning neural network was invented and quickly upgraded. Today's method can not be used in computers 20 years ago. Because today's computers have this ability to make their ideas come true, today's TPU II adopts floating-point arithmetic, which is very powerful and very accurate. This is the beginning of the smart era, he said to Zhou Jiangong.

He also quipped that if he is a 22-year-old young man, he will first hope to upgrade himself in such a big business and direction as DeepMind and TPU, accept the challenge, and then use the learned artificial intelligence technology to apply it to more practical situations. Programs and issues.

Schmidt believes that the speed of innovation in artificial intelligence is even exponential. With the advent of neural networks and deep learning, for example, the machine can realize self-learning and start to speed up iterative.

Specific to the application domain, Schmidt believes that the biggest influence is translation. “This is a fact that I have never thought of in my life.” In addition, when the computer has a vision, the computer can reason and it will change.

Schmidt's answer is health care when asked about the most promising artificial intelligence applications.

"The medical field needs a lot of training data, physical health data is too full, there are cure rates and mortality etc. Technology can promote human health, and physiology and pharmacology will make a huge contribution to humanity in the next five years."

For example, he said that the emergence of the iPhone and Android was only a decade ago, and it is now difficult for people to imagine how to live on mobile phones. ”

As for the future of artificial intelligence and its relationship with human beings, he does not believe that it will cause massive unemployment and threats.

He believes that in the future development of AI, the possible way is the combination of human + artificial intelligence - the machine is smarter and becomes a powerful assistant. For example, a chemist may not be able to exhaust all the papers, but it can solve the problem by talking to a corresponding machine model, asking questions, and improving scientific research capabilities.

When referring to the problem of unemployment, Schmidt took the example of "revenience ratio". As the ageing and the longevity of the population make everyone's burden of "bringing up" more important, the reason why the economy can continue to develop is artificial intelligence. Empowerment, etc.

When it comes to competition in the field of artificial intelligence, Schmidt talked about the current competition for the right to artificial intelligence discourse. In his view, both Echo Amazon and other companies are using the most suitable way to use artificial intelligence and establish a common language. So now the competition in human-computer interaction and machine-machine interaction is fierce, and this kind of competition certainly takes place in China.

For AI will not be grasped by a small number of elites and giant companies, resulting in negative concerns of social injustice and monopoly, Schmidt believes that this will not happen. He believes that AI will benefit everyone as a mobile phone, and many startup companies will use AI to grow into new giants. “There are many entrepreneurs in China and the United States, and they can continue to iterate. This is the era of intelligence, and there are more companies to be born, such as driverless, medical, intelligent transportation and distributed intelligent cloud. When we use tensorflow in various industries and applications Can continue to introduce new ideas."

Chief Executive Officer Zhou Jiangong and Chief Executive Chairman Schmidt of Alphabet Interview Content:

Zhou Jiangong: As the most important thinker in the IT field, your ideas have a profound impact on us. How do you think about this game yesterday?

Schmidt: Ke Jie is well prepared. He learns from AlphaGo's style and is trying to beat AlphaGo.

Zhou Jiangong: AI is now hot, causing many people to think, then how does AI technology affect life?

Schmidt: The biggest influence is translation. This is an incredible achievement. This is a fact that I never thought of in my life. In addition, when the computer has a vision, the computer can reason and a qualitative change will occur.

Zhou Jiangong: There are many application areas, products and services behind AlphaGo. Which area has the greatest potential?

Schmidt: The greatest potential for health, the medical field needs a lot of training data, its physical health data is too full, there are cure rates and mortality. Technology can promote human health, and physiology and pharmacology will make a huge contribution to humanity in the next five years.

Zhou Jiangong: How does technological progress bring AI, where will AI take us?

Schmidt: The biggest change is neural networks, deep learning. Machine learning allows us to learn from each other and progress exponentially.

Zhou Jiangong: Why did you misjudge the importance of AI?

Schmidt: I researched artificial intelligence in the 1980s, but many attempts failed and I gave up. In the late 1980s, deep learning neural network was invented and soon upgraded. Today's method cannot exist in computers 20 years ago. Yes, technology is enabled because today's computers have this ability to make their ideas come true. Today's TPU II adopts floating-point arithmetic, which is very powerful and very accurate. This is the beginning of the smart era.

Zhou Jiangong: How does the data explosion deal with, and the era of knowledge fragmentation has forced us to use AI technology?

Schmidt: These areas of chemical biology are complicated. If chemists and AI work together, when chemists go to bed, AI can suggest what research he does, just like American chemists and Chinese chemists constantly switch to reading and run 24 hours a day. .

Zhou Jiangong: Alphabet is an AI-leading company. China has BAT. These companies have future plans. What are the strategic advantages of Alphabet AI?

Schmidt: BAT has hundreds of millions of users. If they use our tensorflow, they can work better, predict users, serve users faster, self-accelerate, and can continue to improve. Amazon Apple FB also uses our system. We have our own products, Amazon also has Echo, competition can advance development, and China is the same.

Zhou Jiangong: AI is not evenly distributed to the future. Silicon Valley elites can rely on him overnight to become famous. Then does the American middle class notice this technology? Is AI going into the homes of ordinary people?

Schmidt: Alphabet can walk into the homes of ordinary people. Baidu is also able to walk into the homes of ordinary people as long as technology is built in an open environment. It can promote everyone's transaction speed. So many people in China go online and everyone is a beneficiary. Of course, inequality also exists, but it is not technology. We are concerned about how to benefit consumers. After the invention of the mobile phone, it was very expensive at first, but it was getting cheaper. This is a revolution. As the society ages in the future and the dependency ratio is reduced, we can use robots to help people.

Zhou Jiangong: We are concerned about monopolization. There are five giants in the United States. China has BAT. They have a lot of data, talent and a powerful computing infrastructure. Where will they go next? If an AI-based society, will the top five giants and BAT dominate the world? ?

Schmidt: I don't agree. There are many entrepreneurs in China and the United States. They can continue to iterate. This is the era of intelligence, and there are more companies to be born such as driverless, medical, intelligent transportation and distributed intelligence clouds. When we use tensorflow in all walks of life, we can continue to innovate.

Zhou Jiangong: Deepmind is different from ordinary companies. What is his innovation strategy?

Schmidt: Deepmind is unique. Scientists from different fields gather here to develop strong artificial intelligence, make people smarter, make more money, and apply it to more fields. When powerful things come, you will surely make money, and you will know how to make users subscribe and distribute advertisements. Deepmind will also target this development.

Zhou Jiangong: What advice do you have for college students?

Schmidt: If I were 22 years old today, I would do computer science and work at Deepmind to do great things, because this is the first step of the Long March, which will bring positive effect to the world, let everyone be smart and make money while Solve the problem. China is a leader in artificial intelligence and many universities have it.

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